I thought it was only fitting that my first blog be about the surging RedLegs. Sitting two and a half games out of first place with 41 games to play, its safe to say the Reds are within striking distance. Two more home/away series with each of the teams ahead of them left on the schedule leaves the door wide open. The Reds are currently 4-8 against the Cards ( one could argue that it actually hasn’t been as close as that record represents) and a pedestrian 6-7 against the Pirates. These next series will decide the season.
Analysis: Some fun facts:
As it turns out, the Reds play poorly against St. Louis. -37! run differential in 4 series.
The Reds can pitch with anyone. Top 5 in Quality Starts, ERA, Strike Outs, BAA (Batting Average Against), and Shut Outs.
Mat Latos has to take the bump against the Cards in the playoffs. 2-0 14 SO’s in three starts this year. There’s no mental block with this guy.
Ryan Ludwick is hitting .000. This has to be relevant.
The Reds are combined 10-15 against current division leaders Pittsburgh, Atlanta, LAD.
IT: As we saw last year, if you want to win in the playoffs you need a hot bat, 2 great starters, and an above average bullpen. The Reds are a lock for two of the three. So who will it be? Ludwick can’t possibly look this bad the rest of the year right? The Frazier “slump” is no longer a slump, he’s a poor major league hitter. My guess is Devin Mesoraco. But the question at hand is do the Reds have…”it”. The easy answer, I’m not sure. But since I have to choose, no, not currently. Unfortunately, the eye test and the stats are saying the same thing. Can the pitching overcome the bats in October?
This team needs a defining moment. The series against St. Louis in ten days may provide that. I hope.